Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000951 0.001092 0.001235 0.001389 0.001551 0.001716 0.001895
2025-08-17 0.000716 0.000914 0.001122 0.001355 0.001606 0.001867 0.002156
2025-08-24 0.000499 0.000728 0.000979 0.001271 0.001593 0.001936 0.002322
2025-08-31 0.000368 0.000619 0.000908 0.001254 0.001646 0.002069 0.002552
2025-09-07 0.000279 0.000547 0.000871 0.001269 0.001729 0.002230 0.002810
2025-09-14 0.000184 0.000452 0.000797 0.001234 0.001749 0.002319 0.002984
2025-09-21 0.000133 0.000406 0.000776 0.001258 0.001833 0.002476 0.003233
2025-09-28 0.000104 0.000386 0.000786 0.001316 0.001956 0.002676 0.003527
2025-10-05 0.000064 0.000337 0.000752 0.001316 0.002008 0.002793 0.003726
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000305 0.000738 0.001339 0.002085 0.002937 0.003953
2025-10-19 0.000014 0.000255 0.000693 0.001320 0.002109 0.003018 0.004109
2025-10-26 0.000001 0.000215 0.000657 0.001310 0.002141 0.003107 0.004271
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000136 0.000562 0.001232 0.002111 0.003146 0.004406
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000087 0.000503 0.001201 0.002137 0.003253 0.004621
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000037 0.000415 0.001122 0.002099 0.003283 0.004747
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000015 0.000375 0.001107 0.002142 0.003409 0.004985
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000005 0.000355 0.001121 0.002223 0.003579 0.005274
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000308 0.001088 0.002237 0.003668 0.005466
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001110 0.002326 0.003847 0.005764
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000304 0.001166 0.002459 0.004080 0.006125
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001166 0.002515 0.004217 0.006371
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001188 0.002600 0.004389 0.006658
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000242 0.001170 0.002629 0.004489 0.006859